Weather

PM Update: Stray showers tonight, then high chance for decent rain Monday

It may be about a week before the heat levels of today are matched again. A stray shower or storm is expected this afternoon into the pre-dawn hours of tomorrow. Then, our workweek daily rain chances start on a high note.

We might see a full inch of rain in some spots by late tomorrow night. With cautious optimism, the atmospheric data from more than one weather modeling system affirms this scenario.

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Through tonight: A brief shower or storm has a small chance of popping into the pre-dawn hours. Clouds and humidity are on the increase, regardless. The coolest spots may see 70 degrees, but many of us face low temperatures in the muggy mid-70s.

View The Washington Post current weather.

Tomorrow (Monday): Rain chances are on the rise, so the earliest commutes may have the relative best chance of dryness. Periodic waves of downpours and storms are possible most anytime, but especially from late morning into the nighttime hours. The graphic below illustrates that we have the slightest chance of seeing some downpours cause patchy flooding.

Peeks of sun are possible, but that could just make dew points in the uncomfortable low to mid-70s feel more humid. High temperatures are held back in the low to mid-80s. A bit ahead of sunrise Tuesday, as temperatures bottom near 70 degrees to the mid-70s, rain chances, amounts and intensity levels do decrease. Fog is also slightly possible.

See Molly Robey’s forecast into midweek. Come chat tonight on YouTube, Facebook, Instagram and X! Our 20-minute Sunday Sunset Live Q&A will start at 8:29 p.m.

Rainfall projections and drought

Some good news with our stalled front nearby. Rainfall over the next week should add up to respectable amounts. Much of what is accounted for in this graphic below is likely to fall by Thursday night, with perhaps a slight chance of rain into Friday.

While there’s still a geographic pattern to lesser rain amounts falling west of D.C. in the driest part of our region, at least the coming week will offer some relief. The Interstate 81 corridor and mountainous areas of our region, as you can see in this latest drought graphic below, are suffering the worst “D3” Extreme Drought. This week’s rains will be crucial to avoid further water restrictions, which have started west of the city.

We’ll cover this and look ahead at the week’s weather in tonight’s Sunday Sunset Live Q&A on YouTube, Facebook, Instagram and X! Our 20-minute chat will start at 8:29 p.m.




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